喺品牌成立五週年之際，阿維塔科技正邁入發展勢能全面釋放嘅新階段。目前，其累計銷量已突破 25 萬輛，喺高端智能電動車市場建立起穩固地位。伴隨產品矩陣嘅持續完善、核心技術嘅加速落地，以及海外布局嘅深入推进，阿維塔不僅實現咗整體盈利，更展現出強勁嘅增長韌性與品牌活力。作為華為引望嘅最大外部股東，阿維塔將持續受惠於智能生態嘅協同紅利，推動品牌向更高階發展。

成立五年嚟，阿維塔陸續推出咗阿維塔 11、12、06/06T、07 等多款車型，覆蓋 20 萬至 70 萬元價格區間。今年下半年，阿維塔仲會推出阿維塔 07L 及全新大六座旗艦 SUV，後者將行業首搭寧德時代凝聚態電池，進一步拉升產品天花板，拓寬市場覆蓋。按照規劃，到 2030 年，阿維塔將完成 17 款產品布局，全面覆蓋 SUV、轎車、MPV 等細分市場。海外拓展同樣進展迅速，自 2024 年出海嚟，阿維塔已進入全球 40 多個國家同地區，不僅穩居泰國高端電動車銷量榜首，喺阿聯酋亦奪得咗高端市場 10% 嘅份額，全球化布局初具規模。今年，阿維塔將正式進入歐洲市場，進一步加速全球高端市場滲透，計劃至 2030 年覆蓋超 110 個國家同地區，海外銷量佔比達到 40%。

品牌快速成長背後，係長安汽車對阿維塔戰略賦能嘅持續加碼。作為長安汽車高端化戰略嘅核心載體，阿維塔承擔住向上突破、打造全球化高端品牌嘅使命。今年 4 月，長安汽車宣佈阿維塔同深藍汽車開啓戰略協同，遵循「前端獨立、中後端協同、品牌獨立運營」原則，進一步提升阿維塔嘅戰略權重，集團全域資源或會持續向其傾斜。作為品牌群嘅「旗艦與標竿」，阿維塔喺品牌經營、渠道運營、用戶服務三大體系不變嘅同時，高端定位愈發穩固。協同落地後，效率與體系能力進一步放大，為品牌長期發展提供堅實後盾。

此外，阿維塔背靠長安、華為、寧德時代「三巨頭」嘅獨特優勢仍喺深化，構建起獨一無二嘅技術同資源壁壘。基於長安百年製造底蘊，阿維塔自研崑崙智慧增程、太行智控底盤兩大核心技術，迭代推出嘅太行智控底盤 2.0，以行業領先嘅分佈式電驅技術，實現安全與操控雙重進階。同時，阿維塔作為華為與寧德時代嘅「技術股東」，不僅享有最新技術嘅優先搭載權，更攜手夥伴從源頭定義每一項新技術。阿維塔作為華為引望最大外部股東，形成以資本為紐帶嘅利益共同體，持續享受發展紅利。寧德時代作為阿維塔第二大股東，始終將神行、驍遙、凝聚態等前沿電池技術優先搭載於阿維塔車型，確保產品力穩居行業前列。

站喺五週年嘅新起點，阿維塔——呢家年輕嘅「新豪華」品牌，正以更清晰嘅產品戰略、更深入嘅技術合作同更堅定嘅全球化布局，持續走穩「原創、智能、新豪華」嘅可持續增長之路。作為長安汽車嘅核心戰略資產，阿維塔正喺不斷夯實其面向未來嘅核心競爭力，釋放長期價值。

比亞迪正式發布 2026 年 5 月產銷快報，全品牌新能源汽車單月銷量 383453 輛，同比微增 0.26%，時隔十個月實現單月銷量同比轉正；其中乘用車交付 376990 輛，環比大漲 19.4%，一掃前期車型換代陣痛，呈現國內基本盤穩固、海外銷量狂飆、高端品牌全線放量的全新格局，在國內新能源內捲加劇、特斯拉 FSD 入華、自主新品密集上市的市場環境中，走出獨有的結構性增長路線。

八大車型月銷破兩萬 宋元雙車站穩 5 萬

王朝 + 海洋兩大主力品牌 5 月合計售出 330215 輛，佔據集團總銷量超八成，仍是比亞迪銷量壓艙石，全系列共 8 款車型單月銷量突破 2 萬台，產品從 5 萬入門代步到 20 萬家用 SUV 實現全覆蓋。

王朝網內部，元家族 56691 輛、宋家族 51370 輛。雙雙跨過五萬門檻，成為品牌兩大銷量支柱，兼顧家用代步與城鄉出行需求；秦家族緊隨其後交出 28360 台穩定表現，漢、唐系列月銷維持六千級體量，深耕中大型家用轎車、SUV 細分市場；全新車型夏處於市場培育期，單月交付 1810 台，後續隨渠道鋪開有望穩步上量。

海洋網增長勢頭更為迅猛，全系五款車型跨入兩萬俱樂部：海獅 42615 台、海豹 34117 台、海鷗 39919 台、海豚 22260 台、宋 PLUS 27755 台。其中海鷗憑藉 6-8 萬親民定價穩居入門代步銷冠，海獅作為全新走量車型上市即站穩四萬量級，補齊海洋網中型 SUV 產品空白，完善海洋產品梯隊佈局。從代步小車到緊湊 SUV，兩大主品牌依托 DM-i 混動與純電雙線技術，牢牢鎖住 15 萬以內國內主流家用市場份額。

方程豹同比暴漲 139.7% 品牌向上落地見效

騰勢、方程豹、仰望組成的高端矩陣 5 月合計銷售 46489 輛，正式擺脫小眾定位，成為比亞迪品牌溢價與利潤增長新支點，打破自主品牌高端化難破局的行業魔咒。

越野品牌方程豹單月 30186 輛，同比暴漲 139.7%，創下品牌上市以來月度銷量新高，旗下鎦 7 單月 18280 台，豹 5、豹 8 穩定輸出，在 25-40 萬硬派越野細分市場持續擠壓合資、進口車型生存空間。

騰勢 5 月交付 16303 台，MPV 標桿 D9 售出 6721 台，Z9 系列近 6000 台，MPV、中大型轎車雙線發力，站穩豪華新能源賽道；百萬元級超豪華品牌仰望穩步爬坡，當月交付 286 台，同比增幅 105.8%，完成自主品牌天花板產品的市場驗證，形成從十幾萬家用、三四十萬越野、五十萬豪華 MPV 到百萬元級旗艦的全價格帶產品佈局。

海外爆發：單月 16.06 萬輛，佔總銷量超四成 成第二增長曲線

5 月比亞迪乘用車和皮卡海外銷量 160177 輛，同比大漲 80.7%，出口佔全系總銷量突破 42%，創下品牌出海歷史新高，成為穩住 5 月整體銷量、實現同比轉正的核心驅動力。

東南亞、歐洲、拉美成為主力增量市場，海鷗、宋 PLUS、元系列持續登頂多國新能源熱銷榜單，SHARK 皮卡連續兩月單月出口突破 4000 台；依托泰國、巴西、匈牙利、烏茲別克斯坦四大海外整車工廠落地投產，本地化生產持續落地，規避關稅同時快速下沉終端渠道。在國內車市存量競爭、價格戰常態化背景下，高速擴容的海外市場有效對沖國內車型換代帶來的銷量波動，正式從補充市場升級為比亞迪核心增長引擎。截至當前，比亞迪新能源汽車全球累計銷量已經突破 1650 萬輛，全球化版圖持續拓寬。

智駕賦能產品迭代 下半年新品蓄力衝量

5 月比亞迪智能化落地迎來關鍵節點，天神之眼智駕系統成為車型核心加分項：全品牌搭載高級智駕車型保有量突破 315 萬輛，日均路測數據超 2 億公里；當月比亞迪落地城市領航、智能泊車雙安全兜底服務，成為全球首家實現兩項智駕兜底的車企，政策落地三天後，搭載天神之眼系統車型的城市 NOA 激活率暴漲 50%，智能化體驗升級直接拉動終端到店訂單轉化，為後續車型持續走量築牢產品競爭力，直面 FSD 入華帶來的智駕市場衝擊。

從數據細節來看，2026 年 1-5 月比亞迪累計銷量 1405039 輛，同比下滑 20.32%，核心誘因是全系主力車型集中換代、第二代閃充刀片電池產能爬坡受限。新款閃充電池升級快充與低溫性能，全系換代車型優先換裝新電池，但產線改造拖累產能釋放，熱門車型訂單積壓、交付延後，一定程度壓縮 5 月交付體量。

隨著二季度末二代刀片電池產能持續釋放，疊加騰勢 N8L、方程豹鎦 7 純電版、海獅 05、夏 L 等多款新車陸續登陸市場，業內普遍預判比亞迪 6 月全品牌銷量有望突破 40 萬輛。依托低端走量鎖份額、高端提利潤、海外衝增量、智能化提產品力的四維發展邏輯，在國內新能源淘汰賽加劇的當下，比亞迪全品類佈局優勢持續放大，坐穩國內新能源龍頭，加速向著全球頭部車企穩步邁進。

港交所網站掛出一咗一份熟悉嘅招股書。

5 月 28 日，繼去年 10 月首次遞表失效後，智能駕駛解決方案提供商蘇州天瞳威視電子科技股份有限公司（天瞳威視）再次向港股主板發起重衝，由匯豐及華泰國際聯席保薦。

喺智能駕駛賽道從「講故事」轉向「拼量產」嘅 2026 年，天瞳威視嘅二次遞表唔單止係一次資本試探，更係一場關於中國智駕供應商生存現狀嘅集中檢閱。

呢間被認為係「算力效率派」代表嘅公司，一邊連住從采埃孚到上汽、北汽嘅豪華產業資本陣營，一邊卻面臨住現金流緊繃、海外明顯回落嘅現實困境。喺呢場 IPO 嘅博弈中，光鮮同陣痛並存。

01

邊個係「天瞳威視」？

天瞳威視嘅創辦人王曦係一位典型嘅「回國」技術派。佢畢業於北京航空航天大學，後喺英國雷丁大學攻讀計算機科學博士學位。

喺決定創業之前，王曦曾經喺汽車零部件供應商天合汽車（TRW）及采埃孚擔任算法工程師同技術負責人，深度參與咗早期 ADAS 系統嘅開發。

2016 年，王曦捕捉到國內汽車智能化嘅風口，回國喺蘇州創立咗天瞳威視，定位係「以軟件算法驅動智能駕駛」嘅本土解決方案提供商。

公司嘅名字「天瞳」寓意「天之眼」，意在打造車輛感知萬物嘅視覺中樞。佢從最初嘅視覺感知算法起步，逐步擴展至行泊一體域控制器、L4 級自動駕駛系統等軟硬件結合嘅整體方案。

天瞳威視融資情況。資料來源：企查查

成立後不久，天瞳威視就獲得德聯資本、盛世投資嘅天使輪融資。此後十年時間，天瞳威視累計完成咗超過 10 輪融資，融資總額近 10 億元。

從招股書披露嘅股權結構嚟睇，天瞳威視構建咗深度綁定嘅「產業 + 資本」生態圈。

一方面，產業夥伴站台，全球汽車零部件巨頭采埃孚唔單止係其 C 輪領投方，亦係其戰略合作夥伴，持有天瞳威視 6.93% 嘅股份，位列第四大股東；國內方面，上汽集團通過上汽北美產投持股，北汽集團通過北汽產投佈局其中，地平線同商湯科技亦係戰略投資者。

另一方面，地方國資護航，唐山機器人基金、吳中金控等國資背景基金喺 D 輪及 D+ 輪入場，提供咗約 5.23 億元嘅資金支持。

截至最後實際可行日期股權架構

截至目前，王曦透過直接持股同員工持股平台合共控制公司約 40.84% 嘅權益，依然保持住對公司嘅控制權。

02

「兩條腿」行路

天瞳威視喺業務佈局上採取咗「雙軌並行」嘅策略。

喺 L2-L2+ 級輔助駕駛領域，天瞳威視嘅選擇非常務實。佢並冇盲目追逐算力堆疊嘅「軍備競賽」，而係走咗一條高性價比路線。

作為典型嘅視覺派智駕供應商，佢喺 L2 量產方案上以視覺感知為主，融合毫米波雷達同超聲波雷達，能夠喺較低算力平台上實現高級功能。例如，基於地平線 J6B 芯片（約 20TOPS）嘅方案即可支持行泊一體、高速 NOA。

呢種打法擊中咗 10 萬 -20 萬級主流車款對成本敏感嘅痛點。根據灼識諮詢嘅數據，按 2024 年裝機量計，天瞳威視係中國第二大同時提供行車同泊車解決方案嘅以軟件為核心嘅 L2-L2+ 級方案提供商，市場份額為 14.3%。

2024 年中國具備行泊一體能力嘅以軟件為核心供應商格局

截至最後實際可行日期，天瞳威視獲得 23 個汽車品牌嘅 198 款車款嘅 L2-L2+ 級解決方案定點函，並實現 6 個汽車品牌嘅 105 款車款嘅量產；獲得定點函嘅 198 款車款中有 87 款覆蓋海外市場，其中 59 款已實現量產。

但值得注意嘅係，L2-L2+ 市場正在經歷劇烈嘅「紅海化」。

一方面，經緯恆潤、福瑞泰克等本土 Tier1 正在加速追趕；另一方面，部分頭部車廠開始將低階智駕方案從外購轉為內部集成。

天瞳威視能否維持佢喺「性價比方案」領域嘅領先地位，取決於佢能否持續保持算法對低算力平台嘅優化能力，而這需要喺研發投入上持續加碼。

喺高級 L4 級自動駕駛領域，天瞳威視更多扮演「先鋒」角色。這亦係佢近兩年增長最快嘅板塊。

早在 2019 年，佢就參與咗上海洋山港嘅 5G 智能重卡項目。目前佢嘅 L4 方案覆蓋 Robobus、Robotaxi 同 Robotruck。其中，Robobus 係佢最具代表性嘅產品線，已喺蘇州、天津等城市嘅公開道路投入常態化試營運。

2025 年，天瞳威視從 L4 級解決方案產生收入 3.75 億元，佔公司總收入嘅 68% 以上，大部分收入來自 L4 級軟件解決方案。

然而，硬幣嘅另一面係商業化嘅曲折。雖然 L4 業務營收暴增，但佢嘅交付形態目前以「軟硬件一體解決方案」為主，呢種模式本質上接近「項目制交付」或「小規模車隊部署」，與 L2 業務中「純軟件授權 + 白盒交付」嘅高毛利、大規模複製邏輯存在顯著差異。

呢就直接導致 L4 業務毛利率嘅大幅波動：喺部分自研硬件佔比较高嘅項目中，毛利率一度低至 15%。

截至遞表日，公司雖手握超 10 億元嘅 L4 意向訂單，涵蓋 2500 架車，但呢啲訂單預計要喺未來三至五年內先會陸續交付，短期內對現金流嘅改善作用有限。

此外，天瞳威視仲有部分應收來自工程服務，主要涉及道路測試、數據收集支援及數據標註服務以及公司嘅專有工具鏈。

03

財務嘅雙面鏡

招股書嘅財務部分，展現咗智駕行業最真實嘅「B 面」：規模同虧損嘅極限拉扯，同埋賬面現金同營運消耗之間嘅緊張博弈。

營收高增長，但結構劇烈波動。

財務數據顯示，公司嘅營收呈現爆發式增長，從 2022 年嘅 1.72 億元增長至 2024 年嘅 4.83 億元，複合年增長率高達 67.7%。2025 年全年營收進一步增長至 5.5 億元。

但收入結構嘅變化明顯。2023 年，公司依賴 L2-L2+ 業務，佔比 90.2%；去到 2024 年，L4 業務佔比升至 50.2%；2025 年，L4 業務佔比進一步拉高至 68%。呢種「斷崖式」嘅結構切換，雖然證明佢 L4 技術搵到咗落地場景，但亦令市場質疑佢 L2 業務係咪已觸及天花板。

毛利率同純利潤嘅背離，呢係天瞳威視面臨嘅最大挑戰。

從毛利睇，整體毛利率喺 30% 左右徘徊，喺呢個技術密集型嘅智駕行業屬於中等水平。但細拆睇嚟，L2-L2+ 業務嘅毛利率通常能維持喺 40% 以上，純軟件授權模式，而 L4 業務嘅毛利率則因「軟硬件一體」交付中硬件佔比提高而被顯著拉低。

從純利潤睇，雖然表面虧損額較大，2024 年虧損 4.63 億、2025 年虧損約 2 億，呢度包含大量因優先股公平值變動帶來嘅「紙面虧損」。剔除呢個因素後嘅經調整純利潤更能反映公司嘅真實經營狀況：2024 年已收窄至 -438 萬元，但 2025 年並未如市場預期實現轉正，而係錄得約 -1086 萬元，虧損較 2024 年有所擴大。

呢個背後有一個不可回避嘅關鍵前提：調整後嘅「減虧」乃至「接近盈虧平衡」，係喺公司持續壓縮研發投入嘅基礎上實現嘅，研發費用從 2024 年嘅 1.17 億元降至 2025 年嘅 9231 萬元，研發費用率從 2024 年嘅 24.3% 進一步降至 16.8%，而 2022 年呢個數字曾高達 108.7%。對於一家科技公司嚟講，研發強度嘅「退坡」是否會影響未來嘅技術護城河，係一個潛在風險點。

現金流持續告急，最令人擔憂嘅信號。

根據最新招股書，截至 2025 年 12 月 31 日，公司賬上嘅現金及現金等价物為 2.35 億元，較 2025 年 6 月 30 日嘅 3.74 億元淨減少 1.39 億元，現金消耗速度較快。

更值得警惕嘅係經營現金流由正轉負且缺口持續擴大嘅趨勢。2023 年，公司經營活動現金流淨額為正向流入 1.15 億元，但 2024 年迅速轉為淨流出 1.89 億元，2025 年進一步惡化至淨流出 2.93 億元。

與此同時，應收賬款周轉急劇惡化。公司嘅貿易應收款項從 2023 年嘅 0.89 億元升至 2025 年嘅 5.48 億元，三年增長超過五倍，而同期營收增幅僅約 2.7 倍。

更令人擔憂嘅係應收款項周轉天數從 2023 年嘅 191 天同 2024 年嘅 166 天，到 2025 年驟升至 300 天，意味著公司從完成交付到收回款項平均需要接近一年時間。呢相當於變相為客戶提供長期無息墊資，喺資金本就緊張嘅情況下進一步加劇咗流動性壓力。

此外，雖然天瞳威視係首家出海嘅中國智駕軟件供應商，但 2025 年佢嘅海外業務遭遇咗明顯回落。2023 年天瞳威視海外收入為 1.27 億元，佔總營收比重達到 62.2%；到 2025 年海外收入降至 1100 萬元，佔比僅 2.0%。

喺而家全球地緣政治複雜、部分國家對智能汽車數據監管趨嚴嘅背景下，為佢嘅全球化故事增添咗一絲不確定性。

04

結語

天瞳威視嘅二次闖關，係智能駕駛行業進入「淘汰賽」階段嘅一個縮影。

從好嘅方面睇，佢踩準咗 L2 性價比同 L4 場景化落地嘅雙重節奏，且經調整純利潤喺特定口徑下已接近盈虧平衡，呢啲都畀投資者提供咗「有亮點可講」嘅故事線。

但從風險嘅角度睇，情況遠比首次遞表時更為嚴峻。業務重心嘅急速漂移、L4 業務商業化初期嘅盈利磨難、研發投入嘅被動收縮，呢啲此前就已存在嘅問題並未緩解。

天瞳威視 L4 級智能巴士

而真正令此次 IPO 帶「求生」色彩嘅，係現金流數據嘅實質性惡化：2.35 億元嘅賬面現金，面對每年近 3 億元嘅经营性現金淨流出，安全邊際已不足一年。疊加 300 天嘅應收賬款周轉天數，意味著公司每交付一筆訂單，都要墊付近一年嘅資金成本。

換言之，天瞳威視正處喺一個危險嘅財務窗口期：賬上嘅錢僅夠維持唔足一年嘅正常運作，而 L4 業務嘅大規模交付同回款卻需要更長時間。喺呢個智駕資本熱潮退去、一級市場融資邊際收緊嘅時刻，公司已冇太多等待嘅餘地。

首次遞表失效後僅隔半年便再次衝擊港股，對天瞳威視而言，與其話係戰略選擇，唔如話係現金倒逼下嘅必然之舉。

In May, China's automotive market overall presented a gentle recovery trend, with domestic brands still being the sales backbone of the market. Recently, BYD, Geely, Chery, Changan, and Great Wall, the top 5 domestic automakers, successively released their monthly performance reports. From the data, these five companies show a general characteristic of "stable total growth, divergence between domestic and international markets, and accelerated new energy penetration". Overseas exports and new energy vehicles have become the most core growth engines; export business has evolved from a "bonus item" to the "core foundation" for some companies. BYD's "dominant leader" status is further consolidated, Chery achieved high growth via exports, Geely's new energy penetration rate broke 56%, Changan focused steadily on balanced development, while Great Wall appeared slightly under pressure during structural transformation.

BYD: Export Hits New High Becomes Biggest Highlight

In May, BYD stood firmly at the top of domestic brands with a monthly sales volume of 383,500 vehicles, maintaining positive growth both year-on-year and month-over-month under a large base. Its two main brands, Dynasty and Ocean, sold a combined 330,200 vehicles, contributing 86.1% of total sales; Fangchengbao's monthly sales broke 30,000 units to reach 30,200, a year-on-year increase of 139.7%, setting a new high for the year; Denza sold 16,300 vehicles, and Yangwang delivered 286 vehicles. From a model perspective, BYD had eight models in May with monthly sales exceeding 20,000 vehicles. The Song Family and Yuan Family both broke 50,000 units, selling 51,370 and 56,691 vehicles respectively. The Sea Lion Family followed closely with 42,615 vehicles, and Seagull sales were also close to 40,000 vehicles.

BYD's biggest highlight in May was exports. Overseas new energy vehicle sales reached 160,600 units, an 80.4% year-on-year increase, accounting for about 42%. The sharp expansion of export scale effectively countered the phased weakness in domestic demand. Cumulative exports from January to May exceeded 620,000 vehicles. High export growth mainly benefited from continued ramping up of overseas factory capacity, improved ocean shipping capacity, and accelerated channel network expansion. In the domestic market, BYD promoted Megawatt Super Charging and intelligent strategies simultaneously—Megawatt charging achieved about 90% charge in 9 minutes; 20,000 super charging stations are planned to be built by 2026; all series models are available with Sky Eye B intelligent driving solutions and city navigation safety fallback plans, accelerating the popularization of high-level intelligent driving. As Gen 2 Blade Battery capacity gradually releases, the company's orders are expected to continue rising.

Chery: Sales Growth Leads the Top 5

Chery Group's total sales volume in May was 247,800 vehicles, a significant year-on-year increase of 20.5%, ranking first in growth speed among the top 5. Exports remained its most core growth engine—May exports reached 181,900 vehicles, an 80.5% year-on-year increase, accounting for 73.4% of total sales that month, continuously breaking the single-month export record for Chinese brands for three months. In terms of new energy, Chery New Energy sold 100,300 vehicles, a 58.8% year-on-year increase. April and May consecutively saw monthly new energy sales breaking 100,000 vehicles.

The strong performance in exports benefited from Chery's long-term deep cultivation of overseas channel advantages and localized operation capabilities. While overseas orders continued to rise, high export growth formed a sharp contrast with domestic sales—Chery's domestic sales in May were only 60,000 vehicles, accounting for one-quarter of total sales. From cumulative data, Chery Group accumulated 1.101 million sales from January to May, but against the annual goal of 3.2 million vehicles, monthly averages need to reach about 420,000 vehicles later, and pressure remains significant.

Geely: New Energy Penetration Rate Breaks 56%

Geely Auto's total sales volume in May was 237,600 vehicles, a 1% year-on-year increase, achieving month-over-month double growth for three consecutive months. In terms of structure, Geely's "New Four Transformations" transformation showed significant results: new energy vehicle sales reached 133,400 units, accounting for 56% of total sales, with new energy share exceeding 50% for four consecutive months.

From sub-brands, performance was significantly divergent. Zeekr brand sales in May reached 34,400 vehicles, a 82% year-on-year increase; Zeekr 9 Series and 8 Series models combined sales approached 50% of total sales, showing bright performance in the high-end market; Galaxy brand sales were 81,700 vehicles; Geely brand sales were 182,500 vehicles, among which China Star Series sales reached 100,800 vehicles; Lynk & Co brand sales were 20,700 vehicles, with new energy vehicle sales share rising to 71%.

In terms of exports, Geely's overseas vehicle exports in May reached 85,100 vehicles, a explosive 184% year-on-year increase, setting a brand single-month export record high. Among exported products, new energy vehicles reached 40,800 units, accounting for nearly half; hybrid and pure electric products have successively landed in Southeast Asia, Middle East, Latin America, and other markets, highlighting the results of global strategy implementation.

Changan: Multi-brand Matrix Balanced Effort

Changan Auto's delivery volume in May was 209,100 vehicles, among which new energy deliveries were 92,400 vehicles, a 5.8% year-on-year increase, with new energy share about 44%. In terms of exports, overseas deliveries reached 70,700 vehicles, a 38% year-on-year increase, becoming another major growth highlight for Changan in May.

In the sub-brand matrix, Changan Qiyuan delivered 34,500 vehicles in May; All-New Q05 delivered 15,800 units, with orders breaking 3,000 units within three days of listing in Thailand; Deepal sales in May were 33,200 vehicles, a 30% year-on-year increase; January to May overseas cumulative sales were 28,700 vehicles, a significant 167% year-on-year increase; Avatr delivered 7,336 vehicles in May; Changan Auto (Gravity) delivered nearly 49,000 vehicles in May.

Changan Auto's balanced layout was fully reflected in May: the fuel car base remained stable, new energy brands Deepal and Qiyuan accelerated volume growth, high-end brand Avatr continued to break through in technical cooperation, and overseas markets simultaneously achieved breakthrough growth. The pattern of five brands working together, driven by both new energy and exports, is initially taking shape.

Great Wall: Overseas Sales Growth Year-on-Year 46.75%

Great Wall Motor's sales in May were 100,400 vehicles, slightly down compared to last May's 102,200 vehicles, making it the only company among the top 5 to show a year-on-year negative growth. From sub-brands, Haval brand sales in May were 55,500 vehicles, remaining Great Wall's most important sales pillar; Tank brand sales were 17,100 vehicles; both Haval and Tank brand sales showed year-on-year declines; Wey brand sold 8,119 vehicles, a 31.78% year-on-year increase, achieving growth against the trend; Ora brand performance was most stunning, with sales of 6,018 vehicles, a significant 206.88% year-on-year increase. In terms of new energy, Great Wall sold 30,400 new energy vehicles in May, with new energy vehicle transformation gradually accelerating.

The overseas market became Great Wall's biggest highlight in May, with overseas sales growing 46.75% year-on-year. Against the background of pressure on the domestic market, strong growth in overseas business effectively made up for the decline in the domestic market. Great Wall Motor's current core contradiction lies in: Haval and Tank, the two traditional main-selling brands, face weak growth, while Wey and Ora brands, although growing notably, have relatively small volume and are not yet enough to support overall growth. How to complete the "relay" between old and new brands is the key issue Great Wall must solve subsequently.

Final Thoughts

From May data, the growth pattern of the top 5 domestic brands has clearly diverged, but there are three common trends worth noting: First, exports have become a key engine for domestic brands to seek stability and growth. Second, new energy transformation is still accelerating, but paths differ among enterprises. Third, technological innovation continues to deepen brand moats. Looking ahead to the second half of the year, competition in the automotive industry will continue to upgrade around these three trends. Although everyone has a common direction, these three trends are all competing for the entire enterprise's industrial chain strength, and the strong will remain strong, which has almost become an inevitable outcome.

In May, China's automotive market overall presented a gentle recovery trend, with domestic brands still being the sales backbone of the market. Recently, BYD, Geely, Chery, Changan, and Great Wall, the top 5 domestic automakers, successively released their monthly performance reports. From the data, these five companies show a general characteristic of "stable total growth, divergence between domestic and international markets, and accelerated new energy penetration". Overseas exports and new energy vehicles have become the most core growth engines; export business has evolved from a "bonus item" to the "core foundation" for some companies. BYD's "dominant leader" status is further consolidated, Chery achieved high growth via exports, Geely's new energy penetration rate broke 56%, Changan focused steadily on balanced development, while Great Wall appeared slightly under pressure during structural transformation.

BYD: Export Hits New High Becomes Biggest Highlight

In May, BYD stood firmly at the top of domestic brands with a monthly sales volume of 383,500 vehicles, maintaining positive growth both year-on-year and month-over-month under a large base. Its two main brands, Dynasty and Ocean, sold a combined 330,200 vehicles, contributing 86.1% of total sales; Fangchengbao's monthly sales broke 30,000 units to reach 30,200, a year-on-year increase of 139.7%, setting a new high for the year; Denza sold 16,300 vehicles, and Yangwang delivered 286 vehicles. From a model perspective, BYD had eight models in May with monthly sales exceeding 20,000 vehicles. The Song Family and Yuan Family both broke 50,000 units, selling 51,370 and 56,691 vehicles respectively. The Sea Lion Family followed closely with 42,615 vehicles, and Seagull sales were also close to 40,000 vehicles.

BYD's biggest highlight in May was exports. Overseas new energy vehicle sales reached 160,600 units, an 80.4% year-on-year increase, accounting for about 42%. The sharp expansion of export scale effectively countered the phased weakness in domestic demand. Cumulative exports from January to May exceeded 620,000 vehicles. High export growth mainly benefited from continued ramping up of overseas factory capacity, improved ocean shipping capacity, and accelerated channel network expansion. In the domestic market, BYD promoted Megawatt Super Charging and intelligent strategies simultaneously—Megawatt charging achieved about 90% charge in 9 minutes; 20,000 super charging stations are planned to be built by 2026; all series models are available with Sky Eye B intelligent driving solutions and city navigation safety fallback plans, accelerating the popularization of high-level intelligent driving. As Gen 2 Blade Battery capacity gradually releases, the company's orders are expected to continue rising.

Chery: Sales Growth Leads the Top 5

Chery Group's total sales volume in May was 247,800 vehicles, a significant year-on-year increase of 20.5%, ranking first in growth speed among the top 5. Exports remained its most core growth engine—May exports reached 181,900 vehicles, an 80.5% year-on-year increase, accounting for 73.4% of total sales that month, continuously breaking the single-month export record for Chinese brands for three months. In terms of new energy, Chery New Energy sold 100,300 vehicles, a 58.8% year-on-year increase. April and May consecutively saw monthly new energy sales breaking 100,000 vehicles.

The strong performance in exports benefited from Chery's long-term deep cultivation of overseas channel advantages and localized operation capabilities. While overseas orders continued to rise, high export growth formed a sharp contrast with domestic sales—Chery's domestic sales in May were only 60,000 vehicles, accounting for one-quarter of total sales. From cumulative data, Chery Group accumulated 1.101 million sales from January to May, but against the annual goal of 3.2 million vehicles, monthly averages need to reach about 420,000 vehicles later, and pressure remains significant.

Geely: New Energy Penetration Rate Breaks 56%

Geely Auto's total sales volume in May was 237,600 vehicles, a 1% year-on-year increase, achieving month-over-month double growth for three consecutive months. In terms of structure, Geely's "New Four Transformations" transformation showed significant results: new energy vehicle sales reached 133,400 units, accounting for 56% of total sales, with new energy share exceeding 50% for four consecutive months.

From sub-brands, performance was significantly divergent. Zeekr brand sales in May reached 34,400 vehicles, a 82% year-on-year increase; Zeekr 9 Series and 8 Series models combined sales approached 50% of total sales, showing bright performance in the high-end market; Galaxy brand sales were 81,700 vehicles; Geely brand sales were 182,500 vehicles, among which China Star Series sales reached 100,800 vehicles; Lynk & Co brand sales were 20,700 vehicles, with new energy vehicle sales share rising to 71%.

In terms of exports, Geely's overseas vehicle exports in May reached 85,100 vehicles, a explosive 184% year-on-year increase, setting a brand single-month export record high. Among exported products, new energy vehicles reached 40,800 units, accounting for nearly half; hybrid and pure electric products have successively landed in Southeast Asia, Middle East, Latin America, and other markets, highlighting the results of global strategy implementation.

Changan: Multi-brand Matrix Balanced Effort

Changan Auto's delivery volume in May was 209,100 vehicles, among which new energy deliveries were 92,400 vehicles, a 5.8% year-on-year increase, with new energy share about 44%. In terms of exports, overseas deliveries reached 70,700 vehicles, a 38% year-on-year increase, becoming another major growth highlight for Changan in May.

In the sub-brand matrix, Changan Qiyuan delivered 34,500 vehicles in May; All-New Q05 delivered 15,800 units, with orders breaking 3,000 units within three days of listing in Thailand; Deepal sales in May were 33,200 vehicles, a 30% year-on-year increase; January to May overseas cumulative sales were 28,700 vehicles, a significant 167% year-on-year increase; Avatr delivered 7,336 vehicles in May; Changan Auto (Gravity) delivered nearly 49,000 vehicles in May.

Changan Auto's balanced layout was fully reflected in May: the fuel car base remained stable, new energy brands Deepal and Qiyuan accelerated volume growth, high-end brand Avatr continued to break through in technical cooperation, and overseas markets simultaneously achieved breakthrough growth. The pattern of five brands working together, driven by both new energy and exports, is initially taking shape.

Great Wall: Overseas Sales Growth Year-on-Year 46.75%

Great Wall Motor's sales in May were 100,400 vehicles, slightly down compared to last May's 102,200 vehicles, making it the only company among the top 5 to show a year-on-year negative growth. From sub-brands, Haval brand sales in May were 55,500 vehicles, remaining Great Wall's most important sales pillar; Tank brand sales were 17,100 vehicles; both Haval and Tank brand sales showed year-on-year declines; Wey brand sold 8,119 vehicles, a 31.78% year-on-year increase, achieving growth against the trend; Ora brand performance was most stunning, with sales of 6,018 vehicles, a significant 206.88% year-on-year increase. In terms of new energy, Great Wall sold 30,400 new energy vehicles in May, with new energy vehicle transformation gradually accelerating.

The overseas market became Great Wall's biggest highlight in May, with overseas sales growing 46.75% year-on-year. Against the background of pressure on the domestic market, strong growth in overseas business effectively made up for the decline in the domestic market. Great Wall Motor's current core contradiction lies in: Haval and Tank, the two traditional main-selling brands, face weak growth, while Wey and Ora brands, although growing notably, have relatively small volume and are not yet enough to support overall growth. How to complete the "relay" between old and new brands is the key issue Great Wall must solve subsequently.

Final Thoughts

From May data, the growth pattern of the top 5 domestic brands has clearly diverged, but there are three common trends worth noting: First, exports have become a key engine for domestic brands to seek stability and growth. Second, new energy transformation is still accelerating, but paths differ among enterprises. Third, technological innovation continues to deepen brand moats. Looking ahead to the second half of the year, competition in the automotive industry will continue to upgrade around these three trends. Although everyone has a common direction, these three trends are all competing for the entire enterprise's industrial chain strength, and the strong will remain strong, which has almost become an inevitable outcome.

港交所網站掛出一咗一份熟悉嘅招股書。

5 月 28 日，繼去年 10 月首次遞表失效後，智能駕駛解決方案提供商蘇州天瞳威視電子科技股份有限公司（天瞳威視）再次向港股主板發起重衝，由匯豐及華泰國際聯席保薦。

喺智能駕駛賽道從「講故事」轉向「拼量產」嘅 2026 年，天瞳威視嘅二次遞表唔單止係一次資本試探，更係一場關於中國智駕供應商生存現狀嘅集中檢閱。

呢間被認為係「算力效率派」代表嘅公司，一邊連住從采埃孚到上汽、北汽嘅豪華產業資本陣營，一邊卻面臨住現金流緊繃、海外明顯回落嘅現實困境。喺呢場 IPO 嘅博弈中，光鮮同陣痛並存。

01

邊個係「天瞳威視」？

天瞳威視嘅創辦人王曦係一位典型嘅「回國」技術派。佢畢業於北京航空航天大學，後喺英國雷丁大學攻讀計算機科學博士學位。

喺決定創業之前，王曦曾經喺汽車零部件供應商天合汽車（TRW）及采埃孚擔任算法工程師同技術負責人，深度參與咗早期 ADAS 系統嘅開發。

2016 年，王曦捕捉到國內汽車智能化嘅風口，回國喺蘇州創立咗天瞳威視，定位係「以軟件算法驅動智能駕駛」嘅本土解決方案提供商。

公司嘅名字「天瞳」寓意「天之眼」，意在打造車輛感知萬物嘅視覺中樞。佢從最初嘅視覺感知算法起步，逐步擴展至行泊一體域控制器、L4 級自動駕駛系統等軟硬件結合嘅整體方案。

天瞳威視融資情況。資料來源：企查查

成立後不久，天瞳威視就獲得德聯資本、盛世投資嘅天使輪融資。此後十年時間，天瞳威視累計完成咗超過 10 輪融資，融資總額近 10 億元。

從招股書披露嘅股權結構嚟睇，天瞳威視構建咗深度綁定嘅「產業 + 資本」生態圈。

一方面，產業夥伴站台，全球汽車零部件巨頭采埃孚唔單止係其 C 輪領投方，亦係其戰略合作夥伴，持有天瞳威視 6.93% 嘅股份，位列第四大股東；國內方面，上汽集團通過上汽北美產投持股，北汽集團通過北汽產投佈局其中，地平線同商湯科技亦係戰略投資者。

另一方面，地方國資護航，唐山機器人基金、吳中金控等國資背景基金喺 D 輪及 D+ 輪入場，提供咗約 5.23 億元嘅資金支持。

截至最後實際可行日期股權架構

截至目前，王曦透過直接持股同員工持股平台合共控制公司約 40.84% 嘅權益，依然保持住對公司嘅控制權。

02

「兩條腿」行路

天瞳威視喺業務佈局上採取咗「雙軌並行」嘅策略。

喺 L2-L2+ 級輔助駕駛領域，天瞳威視嘅選擇非常務實。佢並冇盲目追逐算力堆疊嘅「軍備競賽」，而係走咗一條高性價比路線。

作為典型嘅視覺派智駕供應商，佢喺 L2 量產方案上以視覺感知為主，融合毫米波雷達同超聲波雷達，能夠喺較低算力平台上實現高級功能。例如，基於地平線 J6B 芯片（約 20TOPS）嘅方案即可支持行泊一體、高速 NOA。

呢種打法擊中咗 10 萬 -20 萬級主流車款對成本敏感嘅痛點。根據灼識諮詢嘅數據，按 2024 年裝機量計，天瞳威視係中國第二大同時提供行車同泊車解決方案嘅以軟件為核心嘅 L2-L2+ 級方案提供商，市場份額為 14.3%。

2024 年中國具備行泊一體能力嘅以軟件為核心供應商格局

截至最後實際可行日期，天瞳威視獲得 23 個汽車品牌嘅 198 款車款嘅 L2-L2+ 級解決方案定點函，並實現 6 個汽車品牌嘅 105 款車款嘅量產；獲得定點函嘅 198 款車款中有 87 款覆蓋海外市場，其中 59 款已實現量產。

但值得注意嘅係，L2-L2+ 市場正在經歷劇烈嘅「紅海化」。

一方面，經緯恆潤、福瑞泰克等本土 Tier1 正在加速追趕；另一方面，部分頭部車廠開始將低階智駕方案從外購轉為內部集成。

天瞳威視能否維持佢喺「性價比方案」領域嘅領先地位，取決於佢能否持續保持算法對低算力平台嘅優化能力，而這需要喺研發投入上持續加碼。

喺高級 L4 級自動駕駛領域，天瞳威視更多扮演「先鋒」角色。這亦係佢近兩年增長最快嘅板塊。

早在 2019 年，佢就參與咗上海洋山港嘅 5G 智能重卡項目。目前佢嘅 L4 方案覆蓋 Robobus、Robotaxi 同 Robotruck。其中，Robobus 係佢最具代表性嘅產品線，已喺蘇州、天津等城市嘅公開道路投入常態化試營運。

2025 年，天瞳威視從 L4 級解決方案產生收入 3.75 億元，佔公司總收入嘅 68% 以上，大部分收入來自 L4 級軟件解決方案。

然而，硬幣嘅另一面係商業化嘅曲折。雖然 L4 業務營收暴增，但佢嘅交付形態目前以「軟硬件一體解決方案」為主，呢種模式本質上接近「項目制交付」或「小規模車隊部署」，與 L2 業務中「純軟件授權 + 白盒交付」嘅高毛利、大規模複製邏輯存在顯著差異。

呢就直接導致 L4 業務毛利率嘅大幅波動：喺部分自研硬件佔比较高嘅項目中，毛利率一度低至 15%。

截至遞表日，公司雖手握超 10 億元嘅 L4 意向訂單，涵蓋 2500 架車，但呢啲訂單預計要喺未來三至五年內先會陸續交付，短期內對現金流嘅改善作用有限。

此外，天瞳威視仲有部分應收來自工程服務，主要涉及道路測試、數據收集支援及數據標註服務以及公司嘅專有工具鏈。

03

財務嘅雙面鏡

招股書嘅財務部分，展現咗智駕行業最真實嘅「B 面」：規模同虧損嘅極限拉扯，同埋賬面現金同營運消耗之間嘅緊張博弈。

營收高增長，但結構劇烈波動。

財務數據顯示，公司嘅營收呈現爆發式增長，從 2022 年嘅 1.72 億元增長至 2024 年嘅 4.83 億元，複合年增長率高達 67.7%。2025 年全年營收進一步增長至 5.5 億元。

但收入結構嘅變化明顯。2023 年，公司依賴 L2-L2+ 業務，佔比 90.2%；去到 2024 年，L4 業務佔比升至 50.2%；2025 年，L4 業務佔比進一步拉高至 68%。呢種「斷崖式」嘅結構切換，雖然證明佢 L4 技術搵到咗落地場景，但亦令市場質疑佢 L2 業務係咪已觸及天花板。

毛利率同純利潤嘅背離，呢係天瞳威視面臨嘅最大挑戰。

從毛利睇，整體毛利率喺 30% 左右徘徊，喺呢個技術密集型嘅智駕行業屬於中等水平。但細拆睇嚟，L2-L2+ 業務嘅毛利率通常能維持喺 40% 以上，純軟件授權模式，而 L4 業務嘅毛利率則因「軟硬件一體」交付中硬件佔比提高而被顯著拉低。

從純利潤睇，雖然表面虧損額較大，2024 年虧損 4.63 億、2025 年虧損約 2 億，呢度包含大量因優先股公平值變動帶來嘅「紙面虧損」。剔除呢個因素後嘅經調整純利潤更能反映公司嘅真實經營狀況：2024 年已收窄至 -438 萬元，但 2025 年並未如市場預期實現轉正，而係錄得約 -1086 萬元，虧損較 2024 年有所擴大。

呢個背後有一個不可回避嘅關鍵前提：調整後嘅「減虧」乃至「接近盈虧平衡」，係喺公司持續壓縮研發投入嘅基礎上實現嘅，研發費用從 2024 年嘅 1.17 億元降至 2025 年嘅 9231 萬元，研發費用率從 2024 年嘅 24.3% 進一步降至 16.8%，而 2022 年呢個數字曾高達 108.7%。對於一家科技公司嚟講，研發強度嘅「退坡」是否會影響未來嘅技術護城河，係一個潛在風險點。

現金流持續告急，最令人擔憂嘅信號。

根據最新招股書，截至 2025 年 12 月 31 日，公司賬上嘅現金及現金等价物為 2.35 億元，較 2025 年 6 月 30 日嘅 3.74 億元淨減少 1.39 億元，現金消耗速度較快。

更值得警惕嘅係經營現金流由正轉負且缺口持續擴大嘅趨勢。2023 年，公司經營活動現金流淨額為正向流入 1.15 億元，但 2024 年迅速轉為淨流出 1.89 億元，2025 年進一步惡化至淨流出 2.93 億元。

與此同時，應收賬款周轉急劇惡化。公司嘅貿易應收款項從 2023 年嘅 0.89 億元升至 2025 年嘅 5.48 億元，三年增長超過五倍，而同期營收增幅僅約 2.7 倍。

更令人擔憂嘅係應收款項周轉天數從 2023 年嘅 191 天同 2024 年嘅 166 天，到 2025 年驟升至 300 天，意味著公司從完成交付到收回款項平均需要接近一年時間。呢相當於變相為客戶提供長期無息墊資，喺資金本就緊張嘅情況下進一步加劇咗流動性壓力。

此外，雖然天瞳威視係首家出海嘅中國智駕軟件供應商，但 2025 年佢嘅海外業務遭遇咗明顯回落。2023 年天瞳威視海外收入為 1.27 億元，佔總營收比重達到 62.2%；到 2025 年海外收入降至 1100 萬元，佔比僅 2.0%。

喺而家全球地緣政治複雜、部分國家對智能汽車數據監管趨嚴嘅背景下，為佢嘅全球化故事增添咗一絲不確定性。

04

結語

天瞳威視嘅二次闖關，係智能駕駛行業進入「淘汰賽」階段嘅一個縮影。

從好嘅方面睇，佢踩準咗 L2 性價比同 L4 場景化落地嘅雙重節奏，且經調整純利潤喺特定口徑下已接近盈虧平衡，呢啲都畀投資者提供咗「有亮點可講」嘅故事線。

但從風險嘅角度睇，情況遠比首次遞表時更為嚴峻。業務重心嘅急速漂移、L4 業務商業化初期嘅盈利磨難、研發投入嘅被動收縮，呢啲此前就已存在嘅問題並未緩解。

天瞳威視 L4 級智能巴士

而真正令此次 IPO 帶「求生」色彩嘅，係現金流數據嘅實質性惡化：2.35 億元嘅賬面現金，面對每年近 3 億元嘅经营性現金淨流出，安全邊際已不足一年。疊加 300 天嘅應收賬款周轉天數，意味著公司每交付一筆訂單，都要墊付近一年嘅資金成本。

換言之，天瞳威視正處喺一個危險嘅財務窗口期：賬上嘅錢僅夠維持唔足一年嘅正常運作，而 L4 業務嘅大規模交付同回款卻需要更長時間。喺呢個智駕資本熱潮退去、一級市場融資邊際收緊嘅時刻，公司已冇太多等待嘅餘地。

首次遞表失效後僅隔半年便再次衝擊港股，對天瞳威視而言，與其話係戰略選擇，唔如話係現金倒逼下嘅必然之舉。

"In the past, selling Toyotas, the first thing customers would say upon entering was: When can I pick up the car? Now the first thing is: Whose intelligent driving system does this car use?" This is what a Toyota 4S shop salesperson told me recently.

He entered the industry in 2018. At that time, the Camry had price markups, people queued for the Highlander, and the Alphard was like a financial product. The hardest part of selling Japanese cars was not selling the cars, but calming the customers' emotions.

But now, the one thing he does most every day is explain: 'Our cars actually use a lot of Chinese supply chains.' When he said this, his tone even sounded a bit proud.

Indeed, ten years ago, Chinese automakers were still figuring out how to make door gaps even; five years ago, Chinese new energy vehicles were completely overshadowed by the industry; and now, if Japanese cars want to do new energy well, the first thing has become: Connect to the Chinese supply chain first.

You will find that when an era truly ends, it is often not because someone fell.

Instead, people who were once high and mighty start to actively learn from you.

Recently, sales of Toyota's pure electric SUV broke ten thousand again. Many people interpret this as a 'Japanese counterattack'. But if you take this car apart to look, you will find things are not that simple.

Momenta Intelligent Driving, Hesai LiDAR, Desay SV Domain Control, FinDream Battery, CALB, Zhengli New Energy...

To put it bluntly, many so-called 'Japanese new energy vehicles' now look more and more like 'Japanese shells assembled by the Chinese supply chain'. But the issue is, this precisely shows that China's automotive industry has truly won. Because true industrial victory is never about crushing others, but even your rivals are forced to use you.

This is actually more terrifying than sales overtaking.

In the past, everyone always said Chinese automakers were 'overtaking on a curve'. Looking back now, this statement was actually too conservative. China's automotive industry isn't about overtaking at all; it's about changing the track entirely.

In the internal combustion engine era, why was the Japanese supply chain strong? Because that era competed on precision manufacturing, stable quality control, long-cycle iteration, and a closed supply system. To put it simply, it was 'slow work yields fine results'. Toyota's system was essentially the highest level of order in the industrial era.

The problem is, the new energy era is different.

Now it competes on iteration speed, software capability, cost control, supply chain collaboration, and large-scale rapid trial and error. In the past, a car model was replaced every five years; now there is an OTA update every half year; in the past, suppliers took three months to change a mold; now Chinese manufacturers take three weeks.

In the past, the strongest point of Japanese manufacturing was 'not making mistakes'. Now the strongest point of Chinese manufacturing is allowing rapid mistakes, then rapid evolution. These are two completely different industrial philosophies. So many people actually misunderstand Chinese new energy vehicles. Everyone always thinks Chinese automakers win because they are cheap. But what is truly terrifying is never the low price. It is that China now possesses 'cheap', 'good enough', and 'fast' all at once.

This is the most scary part. Because the most unsolvable thing in the industrial world is that you are cheaper than me and iterate faster than me. This is also why, today, more and more Japanese suppliers are starting to collapse. Many people see Japanese parts companies going bankrupt and think it is just a sales issue.

Actually, it's not. The real problem is that the industrial logic upon which the entire Japanese supply chain relies is starting to fail. In the past, the biggest moat for Japanese suppliers was the Keiretsu system. Toyota only used the Toyota system; Honda only supported the Honda supply chain. Denso, Aisin, Jtekt, Yazaki... the whole system was like a closed empire.

But in the new energy era, there is a particularly cruel thing: closed systems mean slow. And being slow is almost a mortal sin today.

So you will see a particularly absurd phenomenon. In the past, Chinese suppliers desperately wanted to get into the Japanese system; now Japanese automakers are coming to Chinese suppliers. Because without using the Chinese supply chain, cars simply cannot compete.

This is particularly obvious in Southeast Asia. Two years ago, many people were still discussing: 'Will Chinese cars fight fiercely with Japanese cars in Thailand?' But now it is found that it is not a 'head-to-head match'. Instead, the Chinese supply chain directly penetrated into Japanese car factories.

This is more ruthless than grabbing the market. Because grabbing the market is just grabbing sales. Grabbing the supply chain is equivalent to grabbing the industrial lifeline. In the past, one of the scariest points of Japanese manufacturing was that it controlled the Asian industrial system. Now this control is shifting. And it is shifting very quickly.

The most interesting thing is that the Japanese themselves actually realized the problem first. The Nikkei has started to frequently use words like 'Keiretsu Dissolution'. Translated, it is actually just one sentence: The core thing of the Japanese automotive industry is collapsing.

So today the most painful are no longer Japanese brands, but that group of Japanese suppliers. Because vehicle manufacturers can at least 'surrender'. The supply chain is not that easy to turn around.

Toyota can still use Chinese intelligent driving; Nissan can still accept Chinese batteries; Honda can still learn new EV brands to do cockpits. But what about those traditional suppliers?

All advantages established in the internal combustion engine era suddenly became useless. More cruelly, the most important things in the new energy era, batteries, intelligence, software, intelligent driving, China has almost occupied all of them.

So you will see a particularly darkly humorous picture. On one side, Japanese media are heartbroken over 'Japanese car soul handed over to China'; on the other side, Japanese suppliers are taking BYD orders again to stay alive. This is actually very much like dynastic transitions in history.

People of the old era will not disappear suddenly. They will first be shocked, then deny, then angry, and finally join.

Many people still think China's automotive industry is just 'new energy leading'. But I think the real change is far more than cars. Cars are just the most obvious open exam for China's manufacturing upgrade. Because cars are the crown of industry. Behind it are connected chips, materials, software, batteries, machinery, manufacturing, AI, automation, and supply chain collaboration.

Whoever wins the car has the qualification to reconstruct the next generation industrial order. And what is truly terrifying about China today is that a 'supply chain black hole effect' is starting to appear.

What is a black hole? It means all industries will eventually be sucked into it.

You make cars, you have to connect to Chinese batteries; you do intelligent driving, you have to connect to Chinese computing power; you do supply chains, you have to accept Chinese speed; you do manufacturing, you have to adapt to Chinese costs.

It is highly likely that a very realistic situation will appear in the future. Manufacturing industries that do not join the Chinese supply chain will find it harder and harder to stay at the table. This is not some nationalistic emotion. This is industrial law.

Because at the end of manufacturing development, it is no longer about single-point technology, but about who can compress the entire supply chain into 'one machine'.

And the strongest ability China has now is this. From batteries to intelligent driving, from parts to whole vehicles, from R&D to mass production, China's industry has truly formed a complete closed loop, super-large scale, super-high-speed iteration, and super-strong cost control for the first time.

This thing is what is truly making the whole world anxious today. So look back at those news of 'Japanese cars using Chinese supply chains'.

You will find that its true meaning is not 'Chinese parts entered the Japanese system'. It is that Chinese manufacturing has begun to become the global industrial system itself for the first time.