At the beginning of June, all car companies announced their May sales data. Since entering the second quarter of 2026, sales for each brand have generally been steadily increasing.

It is still the familiar two giants, BYD and Geely. May sales figures were respectively383,453 units and237,637 units.But in my personal opinion, their export data is even more worth our attention.

First, looking at BYD's part, in May their passenger cars and pickupsold 160,177 units overseas, an increase of 80.7% year-on-year; cumulative sales from January to May reached 614,470 units.

Geely similarly performed excellently,May overseas export sales volume was 85,144 units, a year-on-year growth of 184%.

Actually, many readers should know, BYD's 'ATTO 3' which is the overseas version of the Yuan PLUS, and their pickup model 'BYD SHARK' sold quite well overseas.

But in fact, BYD sells more than just these products overseas, and BYD's big weapon 'Flash Charging Technology' is also still in the initial layout stage overseas.

They plan to scale up about 6,000 megawatt flash charging stations overseas by the end of 2026, simultaneously exporting flash charging models equipped with second-generation Blade Batteries.

As for Geely, their premium brand Zeekr has recently been shining overseas, not only is Zeekr 9X very popular in the Middle East market, but the video of 'Zeekr 8X Beating Ferrari' is also widely circulated on the foreign internet.

Including in some lower-tier markets, models like Emgrand, Xing Yuan are also opening up recognition, Chinese car exports can be said to be welcoming a new stage.

According to data released by CPCA,in 2025 China's car exports reached 8.32 million units, a year-on-year growth of 30%; new energy vehicle exports in 2025 totaled 3.43 million units, a year-on-year growth of 70%.

Time has come to 2026, January to March China's car exports reached 2.34 million units, year-on-year growth of 53% compared to the same period in 2025. Combining this data and the current situation, see,I think China's car export volume in 2026 is expected to break through 10 million units.

Everyone says the economy is bad now and no money to buy cars, so why are car companies constantly launching new cars? Yes, one important reason is that Chinese car export business is growing rapidly.

Although the domestic car market has already tended towards saturation, the overseas market is still very vast, and Chinese cars are very competitive.

From CPCA's Cui Dongshu's article we can see, Chinese cars are exported in large quantities to countries such as Russia, Brazil and Mexico, and like the UK, Belgium and Italy in Europe, are also important export regions for Chinese cars.

Besides new cars, exporting used cars is also a big trend.

Domestically, the penetration rate of new energy vehicles long exceeded 50%, but it is not so overseas. In recent one or two years, while domestic consumers use replacement subsidies to buy new cars, a large number of fuel cars flowed into the used car market.

But the market cannot timely digest this part of inventory, therefore many used car merchants chose to export some 'Global Models' with relatively good condition to overseas, especially Asian, African, and Latin American countries, they have a huge demand for such products.

It is not hard to see, in the long term in the future, Chinese car exports will be a very big trend. If friends are interested, they might try to enter this industry, maybe there will be good development prospects.

So how are the major car companies laying out? If friends pay attention to this side should know, new force car companies actually attach great importance to export business.

Take the familiar 'NIO, XPeng, and Li Auto' as an example, NIO had already laid out the overseas market as early as 2021, and also built charging swap stations in parts of Europe and the Middle East.

But NIO's current main focus is still on consolidating the domestic market. Indeed NIO just recently 'got better', there is not enough financial strength and energy to cope with overseas challenges, so NIO's going global speed slowed down in 2026.

But with the help of ES8 and ES9, NIO basically passed the most difficult moment. I think it is time for them to work harder on new car going overseas.A car like Firefly is very suitable for the European market, at the same time, it is already being sold overseas, I think more can be done with it.

And XPeng Motor, for example, 2025 delivered over 45,000 new cars overseas, business covering 60 countries and regions globally.

At the same time, they have also set up 3 production bases overseas, to cope with challenges in tariffs and manufacturing costs. As early as July 2025, the Indonesia base was completed and started production; September Graz, Austria factory started European localization production; December Malaysia base was also completed.

Even they set such a grand goal as 'achieving half of sales from overseas by 2033', believe XPeng has the opportunity and ability to complete it.

But among new force brands, the one with the biggest potential I think is still Leapmotor.

Nowadays Leapmotor in the domestic market can be said to be on a strong trend, continuously gaining the title of sales champion among new force car companies,and in the overseas market it relies on Stellantis Group's sales network, at extremely cost-effective prices achieved good results in the European market.

2025 Leapmotor export volume reached 67,052 units, and in 2026 I think this data is expected to improve further, after all, if they want to achieve the goal of 'millions of annual sales', overseas market naturally cannot be ignored.

Of course, there are also some new force car companies whose export business started relatively slowly.

For example, Li Auto officially started export business only in 2025, but their products were sold overseas via 'parallel export' very early, and also received good reviews.

For example, Xiaomi Motor which sold very well domestically, plans to start export business only in 2027, but according to Xiaomi Tech's layout and influence overseas, I think Xiaomi Motor also has the opportunity to sell hotly.

However, the continuous increase of Chinese car export volume is not entirely the credit of 'Chinese brands', many joint venture brands' models produced in China exported overseas also counts as Chinese car export.

This includes products produced by Tesla China factory, and models from brands under SAIC like MG, Chevrolet, etc.Some joint venture brands' products may not be welcome domestically, but placed in the overseas market that is a 'blockbuster'.

This also explains why some brands' presence domestically is not quite high, but when statistics sales data is not considered bad.

Overall, the increase in Chinese car export volume is very beneficial for promoting economic circulation, can promote the inflow of foreign exchange, provide support for reviving the economy.

And independent brand car companies should also attach more importance to export business, only then can they open up a larger market.So which car company is the biggest winner now? I think some readers should be able to guess, it is Chery Motor.

May 2026, Chery Group sold 247,823 cars, year-on-year increase of 20.5%. Among them, group new car exports were 181,871 units, year-on-year growth of 80.5%, and broke Chinese car single-month export record for three consecutive months.

In the full year of 2025, Chery Motor exported new cars totaling 1,344,020 units, a year-on-year growth of 17.4%; cumulative car exports 5.85 million units, ranked first in Chinese brand passenger car exports for 23 consecutive years.

Although I often criticize Chery's product sequence is chaotic, it is precisely the sufficiently rich product sequence that allows Chery to do well in different countries, plus early layout, let Chery Group become the unquestionable 'Chinese Brand Car Company Export No. 1'.

Nowadays the iteration speed of new cars has become incredibly fast, many friends might think 'Why are there so many people wanting to buy cars'? But after understanding this car export matter, everyone should have a new understanding.

Car companies releasing new cars is not just for the domestic market, it is also a layout for overseas business.

The domestic new car market indeed has already tended towards saturation, but if we look further and wider, from a global perspective, isn't the market very vast?

Everyone can perceive that now is no longer the period of economic upward trend, in the situation where the real estate industry has cooled down, we need a new pillar industry.

For the domestic market, the automotive consumption industry is the choice made by the 'Invisible Hand'. So in your opinion, will car export business be a new trend?

((The above content represents only personal opinion))

At the beginning of June, all car companies announced their May sales data. Since entering the second quarter of 2026, sales for each brand have generally been steadily increasing.

It is still the familiar two giants, BYD and Geely. May sales figures were respectively383,453 units and237,637 units.But in my personal opinion, their export data is even more worth our attention.

First, looking at BYD's part, in May their passenger cars and pickupsold 160,177 units overseas, an increase of 80.7% year-on-year; cumulative sales from January to May reached 614,470 units.

Geely similarly performed excellently,May overseas export sales volume was 85,144 units, a year-on-year growth of 184%.

Actually, many readers should know, BYD's 'ATTO 3' which is the overseas version of the Yuan PLUS, and their pickup model 'BYD SHARK' sold quite well overseas.

But in fact, BYD sells more than just these products overseas, and BYD's big weapon 'Flash Charging Technology' is also still in the initial layout stage overseas.

They plan to scale up about 6,000 megawatt flash charging stations overseas by the end of 2026, simultaneously exporting flash charging models equipped with second-generation Blade Batteries.

As for Geely, their premium brand Zeekr has recently been shining overseas, not only is Zeekr 9X very popular in the Middle East market, but the video of 'Zeekr 8X Beating Ferrari' is also widely circulated on the foreign internet.

Including in some lower-tier markets, models like Emgrand, Xing Yuan are also opening up recognition, Chinese car exports can be said to be welcoming a new stage.

According to data released by CPCA,in 2025 China's car exports reached 8.32 million units, a year-on-year growth of 30%; new energy vehicle exports in 2025 totaled 3.43 million units, a year-on-year growth of 70%.

Time has come to 2026, January to March China's car exports reached 2.34 million units, year-on-year growth of 53% compared to the same period in 2025. Combining this data and the current situation, see,I think China's car export volume in 2026 is expected to break through 10 million units.

Everyone says the economy is bad now and no money to buy cars, so why are car companies constantly launching new cars? Yes, one important reason is that Chinese car export business is growing rapidly.

Although the domestic car market has already tended towards saturation, the overseas market is still very vast, and Chinese cars are very competitive.

From CPCA's Cui Dongshu's article we can see, Chinese cars are exported in large quantities to countries such as Russia, Brazil and Mexico, and like the UK, Belgium and Italy in Europe, are also important export regions for Chinese cars.

Besides new cars, exporting used cars is also a big trend.

Domestically, the penetration rate of new energy vehicles long exceeded 50%, but it is not so overseas. In recent one or two years, while domestic consumers use replacement subsidies to buy new cars, a large number of fuel cars flowed into the used car market.

But the market cannot timely digest this part of inventory, therefore many used car merchants chose to export some 'Global Models' with relatively good condition to overseas, especially Asian, African, and Latin American countries, they have a huge demand for such products.

It is not hard to see, in the long term in the future, Chinese car exports will be a very big trend. If friends are interested, they might try to enter this industry, maybe there will be good development prospects.

So how are the major car companies laying out? If friends pay attention to this side should know, new force car companies actually attach great importance to export business.

Take the familiar 'NIO, XPeng, and Li Auto' as an example, NIO had already laid out the overseas market as early as 2021, and also built charging swap stations in parts of Europe and the Middle East.

But NIO's current main focus is still on consolidating the domestic market. Indeed NIO just recently 'got better', there is not enough financial strength and energy to cope with overseas challenges, so NIO's going global speed slowed down in 2026.

But with the help of ES8 and ES9, NIO basically passed the most difficult moment. I think it is time for them to work harder on new car going overseas.A car like Firefly is very suitable for the European market, at the same time, it is already being sold overseas, I think more can be done with it.

And XPeng Motor, for example, 2025 delivered over 45,000 new cars overseas, business covering 60 countries and regions globally.

At the same time, they have also set up 3 production bases overseas, to cope with challenges in tariffs and manufacturing costs. As early as July 2025, the Indonesia base was completed and started production; September Graz, Austria factory started European localization production; December Malaysia base was also completed.

Even they set such a grand goal as 'achieving half of sales from overseas by 2033', believe XPeng has the opportunity and ability to complete it.

But among new force brands, the one with the biggest potential I think is still Leapmotor.

Nowadays Leapmotor in the domestic market can be said to be on a strong trend, continuously gaining the title of sales champion among new force car companies,and in the overseas market it relies on Stellantis Group's sales network, at extremely cost-effective prices achieved good results in the European market.

2025 Leapmotor export volume reached 67,052 units, and in 2026 I think this data is expected to improve further, after all, if they want to achieve the goal of 'millions of annual sales', overseas market naturally cannot be ignored.

Of course, there are also some new force car companies whose export business started relatively slowly.

For example, Li Auto officially started export business only in 2025, but their products were sold overseas via 'parallel export' very early, and also received good reviews.

For example, Xiaomi Motor which sold very well domestically, plans to start export business only in 2027, but according to Xiaomi Tech's layout and influence overseas, I think Xiaomi Motor also has the opportunity to sell hotly.

However, the continuous increase of Chinese car export volume is not entirely the credit of 'Chinese brands', many joint venture brands' models produced in China exported overseas also counts as Chinese car export.

This includes products produced by Tesla China factory, and models from brands under SAIC like MG, Chevrolet, etc.Some joint venture brands' products may not be welcome domestically, but placed in the overseas market that is a 'blockbuster'.

This also explains why some brands' presence domestically is not quite high, but when statistics sales data is not considered bad.

Overall, the increase in Chinese car export volume is very beneficial for promoting economic circulation, can promote the inflow of foreign exchange, provide support for reviving the economy.

And independent brand car companies should also attach more importance to export business, only then can they open up a larger market.So which car company is the biggest winner now? I think some readers should be able to guess, it is Chery Motor.

May 2026, Chery Group sold 247,823 cars, year-on-year increase of 20.5%. Among them, group new car exports were 181,871 units, year-on-year growth of 80.5%, and broke Chinese car single-month export record for three consecutive months.

In the full year of 2025, Chery Motor exported new cars totaling 1,344,020 units, a year-on-year growth of 17.4%; cumulative car exports 5.85 million units, ranked first in Chinese brand passenger car exports for 23 consecutive years.

Although I often criticize Chery's product sequence is chaotic, it is precisely the sufficiently rich product sequence that allows Chery to do well in different countries, plus early layout, let Chery Group become the unquestionable 'Chinese Brand Car Company Export No. 1'.

Nowadays the iteration speed of new cars has become incredibly fast, many friends might think 'Why are there so many people wanting to buy cars'? But after understanding this car export matter, everyone should have a new understanding.

Car companies releasing new cars is not just for the domestic market, it is also a layout for overseas business.

The domestic new car market indeed has already tended towards saturation, but if we look further and wider, from a global perspective, isn't the market very vast?

Everyone can perceive that now is no longer the period of economic upward trend, in the situation where the real estate industry has cooled down, we need a new pillar industry.

For the domestic market, the automotive consumption industry is the choice made by the 'Invisible Hand'. So in your opinion, will car export business be a new trend?

((The above content represents only personal opinion))

When the narrative of sheer scale in the Chinese New Energy Passenger Car Market is no longer persuasive, a more severe question arises: Where lies the value foundation of the industry?

Looking at the sales data for April alone, it seems everything is "growing upwards": The retail penetration rate of Chinese new energy vehicles historically broke through 60%, reaching 61.4%, meaning for every 10 new cars sold, more than 6 are new energy vehicles.

However, a set of less-than-ideal data echoed in the industry at the same time: In 2025, domestic car sales exceeded 34.4 million units, but the overall profit margin of China's automotive industry during the same period was only 4.1%.

"It looks like scale is growing, but the industry's overall health faces challenges." Wang Hui, Vice President of Avatr Technology, cited data from the CPCA, and in January-February 2026, this figure dropped further to 2.9%.

The latest data shared by Cui Dongshu, Secretary-General of the CPCA Passenger Car Section, shows that in January-March 2026, the automotive industry's profit margin fell to 3.2%, at a low level for the same period in recent years. The automotive industry's profit margin is not only significantly lower than the average profit margin of national industrial enterprises above designated size, but it is also approaching the break-even point for operations for the vast majority of vehicle manufacturers.

When a penetration rate of 61.4% collides with a profit margin of 2.9%, it forms a very fractured industrial landscape: China's automotive industry is speeding ahead on the road of "getting bigger", but is stumbling on the road of "getting stronger".

At the Shenzhen 2026 (4th) Future Automotive Pioneer Conference, these "pioneers" gave some answers and posed deeper questions.

Image Source: Future Automotive Pioneer Conference

Sales Are Rising, Profits Are Falling?

Since 2026, China's automotive market has presented a seemingly contradictory yet established picture.

On one hand, the surge of new energy vehicles is unstoppable. Data from the CPCA Passenger Car Section shows that in April 2026, domestic new energy passenger car retail reached 849,000 units, the penetration rate historically broke through 60%, reaching 61.4%, an increase of 9.7 percentage points compared to the same period in 2025, setting a historical record for monthly penetration in the domestic car market.

Among these, the performance of independent brands was particularly eye-catching. In April, the new energy penetration rate within independent brands reached 80.1%, while the new energy penetration rate among luxury vehicles was only 26.1%. Chinese brands already hold a dominant position in the new energy market.

On the other hand, profit margins for vehicle manufacturers are being compressed sharply. From 4.1% in 2025 to 2.9% in the first two months of 2026, this downward curve is concerning.

Just looking at the absolute value of profit, the total profit of the automotive industry in January-March 2026 was 78.4 billion yuan, a 18% year-over-year decrease. Facing this figure, Wang Hui's remarks at the conference appeared particularly sharp: "Sales without profit are fake sales; scale achieved through price wars is even more of a false prosperity."

Image Source: Future Automotive Pioneer Conference

"Selling more while losing more" has turned from a joke into a ruthless reality.

Investigating the reasons, large-scale "price wars" are undoubtedly the most direct catalyst.

Since 2025, the industry has seen the slogan "Electricity is cheaper than fuel", followed by various companies catching up. Lowering prices is no longer news. But the more fundamental problem is that when all car manufacturers have high convergence in technical routes and product configurations: 800V high-voltage platforms, AI voice large models, and end-to-end intelligent driving become standard configurations, price becomes the only differentiated competitive means, and profits are eroded layer by layer.

Xu Jun, Senior Vice President and Chief Operating Officer of Leapmotor, analyzed: "A range of 700 kilometers versus 1000 kilometers, user perception difference approaches zero, yet costs rise exponentially. Compute power from 30 TOPS to 1000 TOPS, experience difference is far smaller than parameters."

Image Source: Future Automotive Pioneer Conference

He therefore believes that specs so far are just a basic entry ticket, not the deciding factor.

Behind Xu Jun's viewpoint is a trend worth reflection: When automotive technology enters a "convergence period", the architecture of centralized computing + regional controllers is converging, end-to-end intelligent driving solutions are becoming identical, and AI solutions for smart cockpits are becoming increasingly similar, making it increasingly difficult to build differentiated competitiveness relying on technical parameters.

The weight of brand attention in user purchase decisions is rising significantly.

Nio Founder Li Bin revealed the latest research data from McKinsey: One or two years ago, brand was only ranked fifth among purchase decision factors, now it has jumped to second, "believes it will soon enter the top spot".

Image Source: Future Automotive Pioneer Conference

When brands begin to become the "deciding factor", China's automotive industry's technological dividend is quickly turning into brand dividends, while brand reconstruction and construction are far more difficult and test fortitude more than stacking parameters.

Who is Trying to Break the Negative Growth Curse?

Against the background of declining industry profit margins, not all enterprises have fallen into the mud of "revenue growth without profit growth".

At this conference, a few "dark horses" used solid data to prove a possibility: Chinese brands can not only sell at higher prices, but also make profits back.

Xing Xinchu, Chairman of Jianghuai Automobile Group, disclosed in his speech that since Maextro S800 launched in May 2025, cumulative deliveries have exceeded 18,500 units, ranking first in luxury sedan sales above 700,000 yuan for 8 consecutive months.

Image Source: Future Automotive Pioneer Conference

From the perspective of price segments, million-level Chinese luxury cars surpassing century-old luxury brands was almost unimaginable five years ago.

Xing Xinchu attributed this to the path choice of "redefining luxury with technology": "The Maextro brand is not simply copying the development path of traditional luxury cars, but rewriting the narrative paradigm of ultra-luxury car brands with technological innovation."

Nio represents another path worth examining.

On June 1st, Nio announced the latest delivery data: Deliveries in May totaled 37,705 units, a significant year-over-year increase of 62.3%, and a month-over-month increase of 28.4%, setting a new record for single-month deliveries in the brand's history.

The main brand "Nio" delivered 20,013 units, a 50.8% year-over-year increase; the brand "Onvo" positioning the family market performed particularly well, delivering 12,029 units, a 91.5% year-over-year surge, and a month-over-month increase of up to 124.8%; the new brand "Firefly" delivered 5,663 units, a 53.9% year-over-year increase.

From January to May this year, Nio's cumulative new car deliveries have reached 150,526 units, a 68.7% year-over-year increase. At this point, Nio's historical cumulative deliveries officially broke through the 1.14 million mark, reaching 1,148,118 units.

Regarding financial reports, in Q1 this year, Nio's total revenue was 25.53 billion yuan, a 112.2% year-over-year increase, exceeding the revenue guidance upper limit of 24.48 billion to 25.18 billion yuan previously given by the company; total gross profit was 4.86 billion yuan, a 428.4% year-over-year significant increase; the company's comprehensive gross margin reached 19.0%, the highest in four years. Vehicle gross margin was 18.8%, growing quarter-over-quarter for four consecutive quarters, also the highest in four years. Other sales gross margin was 20.6%, also the best level in four years.

Regarding net loss, Q1 net loss narrowed to 332.1 million yuan, significantly narrowing from the net loss of 6.75 billion yuan at the same period last year. As of the end of Q1, Nio's cash reserves increased to 48.2 billion yuan, achieving positive operating cash flow for three consecutive quarters.

In Q1 2026, Nio brand's average transaction price reached 390,000 yuan, 50,000 yuan higher than BMW and 130,000 yuan higher than Audi.

Behind this price difference is a qualitative change in brand premium capability.

No less coincidentally, data shows that the average transaction price of the HIMA全系 series vehicles has remained stable at 390,000 yuan, ranking first in the average transaction price of Chinese car brands for several consecutive months, with performance in some periods surpassing traditional luxury brands.

In segmented brands, the AITO brand's average transaction price reached as high as 409,000 yuan, flagship model AITO M9 cumulative deliveries exceeded 280,000 units, ranking first in 500,000-level luxury SUV sales for 21 consecutive months. The Maextro brand positioning the ultra-luxury market also performed strongly, the first model Maextro S800 price range 708,000 - 1,018,000 yuan, deliveries exceeded 17,000 units in 11 months since launch, ranking first in ultra-luxury sedans above 700,000 yuan for 8 consecutive months, single-month sales even exceeding the total sales of multiple traditional top luxury sedans.

Image Source: Future Automotive Pioneer Conference

The logic behind these brands rising against the trend in price wars is not accidental: First, deep understanding of user value rather than simple spec stacking, second, extreme investment in new technologies forming tech premiums, third, forming systemic capabilities in manufacturing, supply chain, and quality, fourth, deep synergy with partners like Huawei forming technological leadership.

However, analyzing the financial performance of the above brands more deeply, a thought-provoking question emerges: Will the existence of these high-price, high-profit brands change the trend of the automotive industry's profit margin overall?

The answer may not be optimistic. Although Maextro S800, Nio ES8/ES9, and AITO M9 have achieved impressive results in their respective price segments, their share of overall industry sales remains limited.

In other words, the "local breakthrough" of high-endization has not yet reversed the "overall predicament" of the entire industry.

For most independent brands, the average car price is still below 150,000 yuan, and the main battlefield of price wars continues intensely in the mid-to-low-end market.

When most players are still struggling at the loss line, a few successful high-end brands cannot support the entire industry's profitability level.

The true test of China's automotive industry moving "from big to strong" is not whether it can produce one or two products that can rival the Mercedes-Benz S-Class, but whether it can achieve high-quality value creation universally across all categories and price segments.

Mercedes-Benz Sales in China Dropped 27%, Can Chinese Cars Smile Overseas?

When the smoke of price wars rises and falls in the domestic market, the overseas market is becoming China's new "second battlefield" for the next round of competition.

At this conference, multiple guests elaborated in-depth on the strategic layout and direction of China's automotive globalization. If domestic competition is about fierce struggle in the existing stock market, then global competition is a long-term bet on the incremental market.

Avatr's globalization practice provides a highly representative sample.

Wang Hui disclosed in the speech that Avatr has entered more than 40 countries and regions. Avatr 11's starting price in China is about 290,000 yuan, but overseas it is close to 450,000 yuan.

"In Thailand, we firmly hold the #1 spot in luxury electric SUV sales, and in Dubai we occupy 10% of the local high-end electric vehicle market share." Wang Hui said, "At the end of this year, we will officially enter Europe. Although we have been in overseas markets for about a year and a half, we have already achieved stable profitability. So future globalization is something that must be done."

Wang Hui also revealed the brand strategy of sponsoring the Portugal national team in the interview session. He stated that Avatr's main products in Europe will fully enter Europe in November and December. He will go to Europe to communicate with partners in multiple countries. "Sponsoring the Portugal national team is just one of our actions at the Europe brand level. What we adhere to in Europe including globally is long-termism. Besides the brand side and product side, greater resource investment is in the service side, system side, and construction of operational capabilities."

Geely's globalization layout is more macroscopic and systematic.

Geely Automobile Group Vice President Li Chuanghai pointed out that the "most essential thing about China's automotive globalization is not low-price volume, but technology as the root, system as the foundation, brand as the soul, ultimately completing globalization from selling cars to defining the future of cars".

Image Source: Future Automotive Pioneer Conference

He introduced that Geely has operated globalization business for 20 years, owning 5 R&D centers, 16 test bases, with deep integration of local partners in Europe, Southeast Asia, Middle East, Latin America, and Eastern Europe. Geely has participated in co-building international standards and is the first Asian car manufacturer in IATF with board voting rights.

In the dimension of car exports, data from April 2026 also provides an important reference.

In April 2026, car exports reached 901,000 units, a 74.4% year-over-year increase, among which new energy vehicle exports increased by more than double year-over-year, reaching 430,000 units. The overseas market has become the most important incremental engine for China's automotive industry.

However, while export growth is gratifying, a comparative data worth examining is: In Q1 2026, Mercedes-Benz Group sales in China were 111,600 units, a 26.9% year-over-year decrease, becoming the region with the most significant decline among its major global markets. Meanwhile, financial reports showed Mercedes-Benz Q1 revenue was 31.602 billion euros, a 4.9% year-over-year decrease; net profit was 1.433 billion euros, a 17.2% decrease; global sales were 499,700 units, a 6% year-over-year decrease.

This set of numbers reflects both the challenges Mercedes-Benz encountered in the China market, and poses a question: When Chinese brands take root in the overseas market, in what posture will they face global competition?

Chinese cars are replicating the dilemma BBA faced in China's domestic market: When local brands continuously conquer territory through technological advantages and high cost-performance ratios, powerful international brands may also encounter strong counterattacks from local brands in other markets.

When Mercedes-Benz China Senior R&D Executive VP Drummond Jacoy was asked how he views China's new luxury brands, his answer was cautious yet with a hint of urgency: "China has many very excellent brands and products, I respect them very much. We are vigorously embracing technological innovation, continuously learning, and blending cutting-edge technology with brand accumulation."

Image Source: Future Automotive Pioneer Conference

He particularly emphasized that Mercedes-Benz has already carried out deep cooperation with Chinese tech companies in China, from ByteDance and Tencent to Momenta, from Amap to Spark, Mercedes-Benz is trying to narrow the intelligent technology gap with China's local enterprises in unprecedented ways.

This just reveals the new trend of global competition: The battlefield has expanded from China's domestic market to the global market, and the core focus of competition has evolved from single-product competition to all-round competition covering technology, ecosystem, supply chain, and brand.

In Li Chuanghai's words: "Going out is not difficult, standing firm, integrating, and taking root is the real skill."

True globalization is by no means simply copying domestic products and price models overseas, but achieving deep and comprehensive integration from capital to technology, from standards to supply chain.

Leapmotor's strategic layout also echoes this judgment. Leapmotor Founder Zhu Jiangming once publicly disclosed Leapmotor's globalization goals. Zhu Jiangming believes the first step is to achieve a "40-60 split", China accounting for 60%, overseas accounting for 40%; next, strive for a "50-50 split"; the most ideal state is "reverse 40-60". If China's automotive global share can achieve 40% domestic and 60% overseas, that is the best state of true globalization.

From "selling products" to "building systems", this is the threshold China's automotive globalization must cross. In the next three to five years, whoever can first form a viable and sustainable profit model in the overseas market will seize the initiative in the long-term race of globalization.

Conclusion: Car Manufacturers Must Make Money

Back to this conference's theme — "Climbing Steps".

China's automotive industry has completed a leap from catching up to leading in 20 years. There are no short cuts on this road, every step is trodden out. But today, China's automotive industry faces an awkward dilemma: Its achievements in volume have reached the peak, global largest car producer, global largest new energy market, globally leading intelligent technology cluster, but breakthroughs in quality are only just beginning to show signs in local areas.

Industry profit margins dropping through 3.2% means the red light for industry health has already lit up.

When most enterprises have exhausted profits in price wars, who will still have enough funds to invest in R&D for next-gen technology, brand reconstruction, and globalization expansion?

From Wang Hui's "Sales without profit are fake sales", to Xu Jun's "Everyone can lower prices, cutting costs is the real skill", to Li Chuanghai's "Keeping direction in the no-man's land", the most valuable consensus of this conference might just be this common sense as simple as it is: The competition of the automotive industry is a war of attrition, not a blitzkrieg.

As Xing Xinchu said: "On the road of breakthrough in high-endization of Chinese brands, there are no lone heroes, only symbiotic evolution."

When the penetration rate of 61.4% and the profit margin of 3.2% are written on this page of the industrial picture at the same time, the answer is already clear enough: China's automotive industry must move from pursuing "getting bigger" to a new stage of "getting stronger".

The issue is not whether it can sell cars to the million-level, but when the price war burns out the last bit of profit, whether the entire industry can still stand steadily on every step of "Climbing Steps".

Author |Ben Yi

Editor |De Xin

In April 2026, there were 660 car models available in the Chinese market, but only 29 had monthly sales exceeding 10,000.

In late May, Shenzhen, 13 leaders from the automotive industry gathered at the 4th Future Car Pioneer Conference. Morning talks focused on product reconstruction, afternoon discussions on vast horizons, but almost everyone was saying the same thing: The competition of specifications is unsustainable; the next card to play must be the brand.

Industry profit margins fell to 2.9%, domestic passenger car retail dropped nearly 19% year-on-year, and more than 150 new models crammed into the market this year but most couldn't even enter user choice circles. The endpoint of the "specification racing" road should be visible to everyone.

Li Bin quoted a set of data from McKinsey research: the ranking of brands in consumer car purchasing decisions ranked fifth two years ago, but has now risen to second. "Believe it will soon enter the first place."

Source: Future Car Pioneer Conference

This judgment was repeatedly verified in the mouths of different speakers.

Avatr Chairman Wang Hui said consumers no longer need you to tell them how fast the acceleration is or how far the range is. "They want to know more rationally what this brand believes in, pursues, and whether it is worthy of entrusting."

Leapmotor Senior Vice President Xu Jun was even more direct. "Specifications have become the most basic entry ticket, no longer the deciding factor."

Chery Vice President Wang Lang believed that cost-performance ratio solves "worth buying", brand value solves "worth believing, worth long-term choosing, worth recommending to others".

Every press conference talks about 800V platforms, large AI models, end-to-end intelligent driving. "If it continues like this, there will be no product differentiation."

If important decision-makers in the whole industry begin to collectively use "brand" instead of "specifications" for external expression, this itself conveys a clear signal: the competition of China's intelligent electric vehicles is shifting from "hardware racing" to competition at the brand dimension.

Avatr's Wang Hui shared a set of data from CPCA: domestic car sales exceeded 34.4 million vehicles in 2025, but profit margins were only 4.1%.

By January-February 2026, this number fell further to 2.9%.

He spoke sharply on site, "Sales without profit are fake sales, scale won by price wars is even more false prosperity."

CPCA Secretary-General Cui Dongshu added a supplement to this data from the supply chain perspective.

Whole vehicle enterprises selling cars don't make money, "basically becoming a state of working for upstream", while mining industry net profit margins have risen to about 40%. Car companies expanded the industry cake, but profits were taken by upstream.

Source: Future Car Pioneer Conference

The market side is also seriously challenging. Li Bin revealed that domestic passenger car retail sales dropped 18.9% year-on-year from January to April 2026, and even dropped more than 24% in the first few weeks of May. CPCA's annual forecast adjusted from -1% at the beginning of the year to -11% all the way. Cui Dongshu himself said, "This "drastic forecast adjustment is historically rare".

The backlash caused by price wars has also fully manifested.

Wang Hui calculated an account, "Price can only hold for two months, after two months there is not much effect, and there is a pile of old users being backstabbed." Since April, nearly 20 products in the market have announced price hikes. Avatr's own 06T and new Avatr 12 average price was 20,000 to 30,000 yuan higher than the previous generation. He said, "After the price increase, we can finally sleep soundly. Because we told customers we wouldn't stab them in the back, this counts as fulfilling the promise to users."

In a sense, it is not that car manufacturers chose to wake up proactively to carry out "brand upgrading", this is more of a passive turn under profit squeeze. When prices can't be driven down, specifications can't stack differences, "brand" almost became the only competition dimension that hasn't been fully penetrated.

Consensus is consensus, but specifically "how to build a brand", each gives a completely different answer.

Li Bin stated he would not make extended range, plug-in hybrid, and MPV. "Cars that are obviously not profitable will not be developed." Basic R&D (chips, operating systems, batteries) is firmly invested, application layer looks more at ROI. NIO brand average transaction price is about 400,000 yuan, 50,000 yuan higher than BMW, 130,000 yuan higher than Audi, achieving operating profit for two consecutive quarters. ES8 launched 215 days, delivered over 100,000 units, consecutive 5 months over 400,000 yuan regardless of energy form sales champion, so the current NIO is "save where you should, spend where you should".

Changan Group just streamlined its future five-year products from 63 models to 36 models. Wang Hui's led Avatr has struck a combination of punches in the overseas market: entering more than 40 countries, Avatr 11 starts at 290,000 yuan in China, selling near 450,000 yuan overseas, Thailand luxury electric SUV sales first, achieving stable profit after only one and a half years entering overseas.

"50:50 market, but looking globally, may need to put 80% of resources to gain the recognition of another 50% of customers." Wang Hui's underlying meaning is obvious, Domestic competition is exhausted, globalization is real incremental.

Xu Jun did not reveal details of the second brand, but said a thought-provoking sentence, "The end game of China's automotive industry development must be brand". When Leapmotor starts talking about brand upgrading, this itself is a clear signal. System synergy capability (CTC+ Central Integrated Architecture overall optimization), scenario definition capability (C16's large six seats solves second-child family travel, not just two extra seats), and long-term compound interest accumulated from over a decade of full-domain self-research, are the three layers of "hidden kung fu" supporting Leapmotor's turn.

Zhang Zhengping revealed, AITO M9's intelligent driving mileage share has exceeded 52% (overall data of 280,000 vehicles). Users choose AITO Top 3 reasons are: Intelligent driving, Safety, Brand, traditional "high performance" (acceleration, range) even did not enter the top three.

AITO also did one thing in the manufacturing end: "One Car One File", every screw of each car, each welding time, voltage, current, and operator have complete records. This is adding user trust in the brand from the underlying infrastructure.

New Generation AITO M9｜Source: HarmonyOS Intelligent Official Website

If a car company wants to build "Intelligent Brand Competitiveness" in the AI era, may need to learn from Geely.

Geely Research Institute Director Li Chuanhai admitted facing severe AI talent shortage, "Those who understand AI don't understand products, those who understand mechanics don't understand training models", and traditional recruitment can't attract top AI talents, those people are in large model companies.

Geely's solution is not hard recruitment, but building an ecosystem, and cooperating with partners like StepFun, Qianli Technology, XinQing Technology, etc., pulling AI talents into their own ecosystem. Product end, ZEEKR 4 years cumulative delivery nearly 750,000 units, average price over 300,000 yuan, ZEEKR 9X average transaction price over 530,000 yuan, consecutive months over 500,000 yuan SUV sales champion, proved the output ability of this system.

The intelligent driving supply chain side also has resonance on this.

DeepRoute CEO Zhou Guang judged, current small model intelligent driving has reached the ceiling, "Investment is increasing more and more, improvement is slower and slower".

He used "See-Saw Effect" to describe: small models solved Shanghai's problem, Shenzhen might get worse, the repeated see-saw between versions is the core reason users find it difficult to trust intelligent driving systems long-term.

DeepRoute bet on large model paradigm transition, deployed 40B base model, goal is to increase city safety takeover mileage from tens of kilometers to over 1,000 kilometers. If realized, intelligent driving will change from "usable" to "commonly used", in reverse will also become the core barrier of brand differentiation.

Source: 2026 Future Car Pioneer Conference

Additionally, worth mentioning is that the topic of FSD entering China was mentioned multiple times that day.

Zhang Zhengping stated "New M9 equipped with 6 laser radars, 40 sensors, hardware configuration definitely not lose to FSD". Zhou Guang was much more open-minded, he believes "This is a positive signal, Tesla FSD entering will make intelligent driving safety higher", but also pointed out, if still insisting on small model paradigm, "it will be quite troublesome".

Competition has upgraded, every company must bring out real stuff.

"Future ultra-luxury cars must collapse. There is no luxury car concept in the world, only premium car concept. Luxury will be replaced, just like electronic consumption, no century accumulation, only technological innovation." Cui Dongshu gave a very radical judgment.

But the big shots doing premium products on stage may not fully agree with this.

Li Bin holds 400,000 yuan average price not letting go, Wang Hui's Avatr overseas wants to sell 450,000 yuan, Xiang Xingchu's Luxeed S800 consecutive 8 months holding luxury sedan sales champion over 700,000 yuan, Zhang Zhengping's AITO M9 consecutive 2 years 500,000 yuan level champion.

Interesting is, This "disagreement" on luxury concept may not be true disagreement.

Cui Dongshu speaks of old luxury disintegration, that is luxury supported by century accumulation, handcrafting, Logo premium. What Chinese brands are doing is exactly using "Technology + Experience" to redefine luxury, which is "Real luxury is not who you are like, but who you are."

As the only foreign car company guest that day, Mercedes-Benz China R&D Head Drummond Jacoy being present on site itself makes the discussion interesting.

He mentioned "Oil and Electric Equipped with Intelligence" and "Chinese Speed" in speech, for example Chinese R&D team has begun to lead multiple global projects, including new generation S-Class rear entertainment system. When asked if Chinese luxury new brands pose a threat to Mercedes, his answer was relatively restrained, but significant: "China has many very excellent brands and products, I highly respect them."

Source: 2026 Future Car Pioneer Conference

Cui Dongshu and manufacturer representatives actually speaking of "Luxury" one body two sides: Old luxury is dissolving, new luxury is building. Disagreement also fundamentally not at "whether to do premium", but "what supports premium".

When Luxeed S800 sells to 800,000 yuan with technology, when NIO average price exceeds BMW, market data has already given the answer. The foundation of brand premium, is shifting from historical accumulation to technology experience.

This is probably the most worth paying attention to topic of this year's Future Car Pioneer Conference: when industry profit margin drops to 2.9%, when specification competition reaches the end, each car brand must answer is, what exactly are we selling?

Obviously, a function configuration table piled with various specifications is already not attractive enough.