16 years ago, Geely bought Volvo from Ford.

At that time, many people's first reaction was not admiration, but worry: a Chinese private car company suddenly taking over a European luxury brand, was this an overseas acquisition, or simply spending money to buy a master to worship?

16 years later, the story circled back to Ford.This time, however, the positions of the people sitting at both sides of the negotiation table were slightly different.

On July 23, Ford and Geely announced they will establish a joint venture company targeting the European market around the Valencia, Spain factory.Ford holds about 66%, Geely holds about 34%, both parties will produce multi-energy models of Ford and Geely brands here. According to the plan, two Geely new energy SUVs will be rolled off the line in 2028, and both parties will jointly develop a new car that offers pure electric, plug-in hybrid, and extended-range versions.

So strictly speaking,Geely did not buy the Ford factory with people and land as a package deal.

But what is most worth looking at is not who has a few more percentage points on the equity table, but who needs whom more.

The Valencia factory has an annual capacity of about 500,000 vehicles and was once one of Ford's most important manufacturing bases in Europe, producing a long list of models familiar to European consumers such as Fiesta, Mondeo, Galaxy. However, now the factory mainly relies on Kuga to maintain production, capacity utilization is only about 30%, and production volume has dropped by more than 70% compared to 2019.

A factory capable of producing 500,000 cars is now waiting for orders most of the time. Machines are still there, workers are still there, supply chains are still there,but there aren't enough cars to sell.

It is like an old restaurant that once had people queuing for two hours to eat; the kitchen, tables and chairs, waiters, nothing was missing, but finally discovered there were only three tables of guests in the hall.

At this time, Geely pushed the door and walked in.Not here to eat, but bringing menus, chefs, and a group of new customers, asking Ford: Your kitchen is empty anyway, why don't we partner up?

This is the really interesting part of this news. In the past, Chinese car companies going to Europe were usually there to learn. Learn how Europeans do design, learn how Germans tune chassis, learn how century-old car companies manage supply chains. If really can't learn, directly hire a few designers, chassis engineers, and sales executives back.

Chinese cars at that time were like students who suddenly made money, searching the world for famous teachers. European car companies sat on the podium, collecting tuition fees while being somewhat condescending.

In 2010, Geely acquired Volvo, which was the most representative transaction under this historical background. Why did Ford sell Volvo back then? Because after the financial crisis, they lacked money and needed to contract their frontline. Why did Geely buy? Because it needed brands, technology, and a mature global system.

That was a standard exchange of Chinese capital for European technology.

But the logic of today's Valencia cooperation has been reversed. What Ford needs from Geely is not just money,but new energy products, vehicle platforms, development speed, and orders that can fill the factory again.

In other words, 16 years ago Geely bought a European luxury brand from Ford; 16 years later, Ford is starting to invite Geely back to help solve what cars the European factory should actually build.

This is not simply "feng shui goes in cycles", but a rearrangement of power relations in the automotive industry. Because for an automotive company, what is truly dangerous has never been selling fewer cars, but gradually losing the ability to define the next car.

Factory idleness is just the appearance.Behind the appearance is Ford's awkwardness in Europe's new energy transformation.

In the past few years, Ford has done a lot of things in Europe. It cooperated with Volkswagen, launching Explorer EV and Capri EV based on Volkswagen's MEB platform; also cooperated with Renault, hoping to jointly develop cheaper small electric vehicles; now inviting Geely into Valencia.

Cooperation is certainly not wrong. The automotive industry is inherently a highly collaborative industry, no car company can manufacture everything from chips to tires by itself.

But when a century-old car company's new products rely more and more on others to provide platforms, technology, or capacity solutions, things are not as easy as "open cooperation".It shows that Ford is using partners to make up for its speed and cost shortcomings in European new energy products.

Past Ford, others came to borrow platforms, factories, brands. Present Ford, started looking for partners everywhere. Volkswagen handles part of the pure electric platform, Renault helps solve small electric vehicles, now Geely brings new energy SUVs and new platforms into the Spanish factory.

Those who don't know might think Ford pulled a group chat in the auto industry, the group name being "European Business Self-Help Mutual Aid Society".

And Geely choosing to enter Valencia at this time is absolutely not doing charity in Europe.

Chinese car companies going overseas, the simplest stage, is to load cars onto ships from domestic and ship them to Europe to sell. But with tariffs, local manufacturing rules, and political reviews increasing, pure exports are becoming a business with higher costs and lower certainty.

The EU currently still implements countervailing measures on pure electric vehicles produced in China, and is also discussing more clear "Made in Europe" requirements.

So now what Chinese car companies are thinking is no longer "how to sell cars to Europe",but "how to make themselves part of the local European industry". That is exactly the purpose behind BYD poaching a former Hungarian foreign minister; Geely's cooperation with Ford in the Spanish Valencia factory today is the same.

After all, building a factory from scratch is like registering a new account again. But entering a factory that Ford has operated for many years is like taking over an old account with real-name certification, credit records, and lists of local government and union friends.

What is truly valuable is not those stamping machines in the factory building, but the workers behind them, suppliers, certification experience, and interest relationships formed with the local government and community.

In the past, what Europe feared most was whether Chinese cars would take away Europeans' jobs. Now a slightly awkward picture has emerged,if Chinese car companies don't come, some European workers' jobs will be even harder to keep.

Europe is adding tariffs on Chinese EVs on one side, worrying that Chinese brands will impact the local industry; on the other side, welcoming Chinese models into local factories, because factories need orders, local areas need tax revenue, workers need jobs.

What they say on their mouths is "prevent industrial hollowing out", but their bodies honestly ask: When can those two models of SUVs go on the production line?

However, seeing this, don't rush to open champagne yet.

Chinese car companies walking into European factories does not mean they have obtained permanent property rights from then on.On the contrary, the troubles Chinese enterprises have encountered overseas in the past year and a half are already so many that they could almost shoot an international business war serial drama alone.

The UK government forcibly nationalized British Steel under China's Jingye Group; The Netherlands government implemented rare operational intervention on Nexperia under Wingtech Technology; Panama Supreme Court ruled contracts invalid for companies under Hutchison Whampoa operating two canal ports; Australian government clearly promoted Darwin Port to return to national control, Landbridge Group holding 99-year lease has launched legal action.

The resource countries are not idle either.Niger expelled three Chinese oil company executives, wanting to avoid debt; Indonesia, after relying on Chinese capital and technology to become a global nickel industry center, started tightening ore quotas, raising taxes and fees, adjusting pricing methods, hoping to keep more profit and resource control rights in its own hands.

The most uncomfortable is India, planning to maintain strict review for Chinese enterprises for a long time, BYD was recently investigated due to import parts tariff issues. The Indian government also issued a 650 million tax bill to BYD.

Looking at these things together, it is indeed easy to feel a sense of an approaching storm.

It seems as soon as Chinese enterprises prepare to go out on a large scale, the whole world starts closing doors and changing locks, then tells you, sorry, recently the four words "National Security" are a bit busy, ports are managed by it, chips are managed by it, steel is managed by it, mines are also managed by it.

But this is exactly the proof that Chinese enterprises have truly started globalization.

In the past, Chinese companies had less presence overseas, of course not so much friction. You just sell some goods, others treat you as a supplier; when you start buying factories, getting ports, controlling resources, building supply chains, even affecting a country's employment and industrial security, the way others look at you naturally changes.

A person who never goes to sea certainly will not encounter storms at sea. But this cannot prove the shore is safer, it can only prove he can never reach the other shore.

So the question has never been whether Chinese enterprises should go overseas or not,the way of going overseas must be upgraded.

In the past, Chinese enterprises were best at calculating production costs, how much a battery costs, how long it takes for a car to roll off the line, how much efficiency can be improved.

In the future, we also have to learn to calculate political costs, whether the government will change, whether industrial policy will turn, whether the boundary of "National Security" will suddenly expand, after contract disputes, whether local laws and arbitration mechanisms are reliable.

From this angle, looking at the joint venture between Geely and Ford, it is even more interesting.

Ford holds 66%, Geely holds 34%, on the surface Geely has no control, not enough "to feel proud". But this may exactly be a design where courage and wisdom coexist.

Geely did not buy a European factory alone, then hang a sign at the door announcing flag planting success, but kept Ford on the ship, kept Spanish workers on the production line, tied local suppliers, government tax revenue and employment into the project.

If someone really wants to overturn the table in the future, those whose feet will be hit first are not just Geely, but also Ford, local unions, parts enterprises, and families relying on this factory to eat.

This is mature globalization.It is not walking to a country, declaring this belongs to me from now on; but making more and more locals discover that if this project is gone, they will also feel the pain.

So these recent overseas frictions are certainly worth being vigilant, but not worth concluding "Chinese enterprises should not go overseas".

The larger the contact surface, the more friction points there are naturally. The heavier the assets Chinese enterprises take out, the more critical the industries entered, the more resistance encountered will not just be commercial competition, but become a mixed question of law, politics, public opinion, and national security.

This is very troublesome, but it is also an unavoidable path.

16 years ago, Geely bought Volvo from Ford, buying a ticket to enter the global automotive industry.

16 years later, Geely walked into Ford's European factory, bringing not just money, but products, technology, efficiency, and orders.

In the past, Chinese cars going overseas, they sold cars. In the future, what truly needs to be exported is a complete car-making method, and the ability to survive in unfamiliar rules.

The thing European cars worried most about has indeed happened. Chinese car companies not only drove cars into the European market, but also started to embed themselves into the production lines of the European automotive industry.

But for Chinese enterprises, the real test has just begun.

Selling cars is just the first step. True globalization is walking outwards while getting beaten, while learning how not to get beaten for nothing.